I never tip winners.
Why are you people still reading this?
Why are you people still reading this?
RANDWICK
Doncaster Mile (Group 1, 1600m, handicap)
*** There are no an early scratchings ***
Fine weather all week sees us return to a good surface. Not much speed here. Arbeitsam and Invincible Gem press forward from wide gates but I can't see any others in a mad dash for the lead. Having said that I confess I haven't seen too many slowly run Doncasters. Waller trains six of the 16 while Weir and Lees have two apiece. D'Argento will carry 50kg and Invincible Gem 52.5kg because Corey Brown and Michael Walker have been granted permission by stewards to ride overweight.
Kementari and Happy Clapper find themselves at the top of the market. No real surprise there given they have the Winx form (below) and that eight of the last 14 winners came via the G1 George Ryder and all of them finished top four at their previous run. They map well from the inside gates too. Kementari meets Happy Clapper 2.5kg better off for last start but the latter does love the Randwick mile (6:3-2-0). D'Argento on the other hand is out in the car park and will need some Corey Brown magic to find a spot in the run. He drops back from the 2000m of the G1 Rosehill Guineas but it's a path trainer Chris Waller has trodden before with Sacred Falls completing the double in 2013. Humidor is the only other one under double figures and four of the last six winners carried 55kg or more. The last horse to win this with 58kg was Sunline. She was also the last horse to win this coming off a last start run in Melbourne.
It's $16+ the rest. Crack Me Up will have his admirers because he also has G1 George Ryder form (above) and drops 6kg on his last run. He's unbeaten at Randwick, his mile record is super (7:3-2-0) and he won the G2 Villiers at this track and trip four months ago. Comin' Through and Tom Melbourne get right down in the weights here and they beat home subsequent winners Cellarman and Arbeitsam when fighting out the finish in the G2 Ajax Stakes last start. That's the same race It's Somewhat collected en route to victory in this race last year but he was the first to do that double since Grand Armee in 2003.
Of the others Endless Drama looks as if he will get a good run from barrier three. It just seems an odd preparation for this - first-up 1400m, second-up 1300m then up to the mile third-up with four weeks between runs. Conversely Prized Icon is having his sixth run this prep. He was sixth-up when he won the G1 Champagne Stakes and again when he won the G1 Victoria Derby. His four runs at this course and distance have yielded two wins and a second placing to Winx. Egg Tart was backed off the map last time out in the G1 Coolmore and ran like wet paint but she has just 50.5kg here and is a two-time G1 winner. Trainer Chris Waller has won six of the last 10 editions of this race. Lanciato is flying and the wide barrier suits his style of racing. This is his acid test though. Invincible Gem has G1 George Ryder form but she needs to improve lengths on that run. Tosen Stardom has had some support at long odds. If you ignore his last start flop he was excellent prior in the G1 Futurity when narrowly beaten by Brave Smash. Arbeitsam was a dominant all-the-way winner last weekend. He won't know himself with 50kg and Gai Waterhouse has won this race seven times.
Kementari and Happy Clapper find themselves at the top of the market. No real surprise there given they have the Winx form (below) and that eight of the last 14 winners came via the G1 George Ryder and all of them finished top four at their previous run. They map well from the inside gates too. Kementari meets Happy Clapper 2.5kg better off for last start but the latter does love the Randwick mile (6:3-2-0). D'Argento on the other hand is out in the car park and will need some Corey Brown magic to find a spot in the run. He drops back from the 2000m of the G1 Rosehill Guineas but it's a path trainer Chris Waller has trodden before with Sacred Falls completing the double in 2013. Humidor is the only other one under double figures and four of the last six winners carried 55kg or more. The last horse to win this with 58kg was Sunline. She was also the last horse to win this coming off a last start run in Melbourne.
It's $16+ the rest. Crack Me Up will have his admirers because he also has G1 George Ryder form (above) and drops 6kg on his last run. He's unbeaten at Randwick, his mile record is super (7:3-2-0) and he won the G2 Villiers at this track and trip four months ago. Comin' Through and Tom Melbourne get right down in the weights here and they beat home subsequent winners Cellarman and Arbeitsam when fighting out the finish in the G2 Ajax Stakes last start. That's the same race It's Somewhat collected en route to victory in this race last year but he was the first to do that double since Grand Armee in 2003.
Of the others Endless Drama looks as if he will get a good run from barrier three. It just seems an odd preparation for this - first-up 1400m, second-up 1300m then up to the mile third-up with four weeks between runs. Conversely Prized Icon is having his sixth run this prep. He was sixth-up when he won the G1 Champagne Stakes and again when he won the G1 Victoria Derby. His four runs at this course and distance have yielded two wins and a second placing to Winx. Egg Tart was backed off the map last time out in the G1 Coolmore and ran like wet paint but she has just 50.5kg here and is a two-time G1 winner. Trainer Chris Waller has won six of the last 10 editions of this race. Lanciato is flying and the wide barrier suits his style of racing. This is his acid test though. Invincible Gem has G1 George Ryder form but she needs to improve lengths on that run. Tosen Stardom has had some support at long odds. If you ignore his last start flop he was excellent prior in the G1 Futurity when narrowly beaten by Brave Smash. Arbeitsam was a dominant all-the-way winner last weekend. He won't know himself with 50kg and Gai Waterhouse has won this race seven times.
Locky's Tip
9. Kementari WIN
OTHER BETS
Oohood (Randwick Race 6 No. 13) is due for a change of luck surely after placings in both the G1 Blue Diamond and G1 Golden Slipper. She was strong through the line in both runs so the step-up to 1400m should suit her. Sure she's still a maiden but she's never missed a place in five runs and all were in Black Type races. Zac Purton - who partnered her in the Slipper - flies back to take the ride.
Ace High (Randwick Race 7 No. 1). has had the ideal preparation for this race and just keeps ticking along nicely. You know he will run out a strong trip whereas many of his rivals have to be a query. Even though he finished sixth last start in the G1 Rosehill Guineas (below) I liked his effort because he kept slogging to the line despite having a wide run without cover. He is a genuine Derby horse.
In Her Time (Randwick Race 8 No. 8). won very well first-up and as much respect as I have for Redzel (eight starts in the last year for seven wins and a second to Redkirk Warrior) the $4.20 looks more attractive than $2.30. She's three from three at the Randwick 1200m and can stalk the speed from barrier three.
Luvaluva (Randwick Race 10 No. 1) won the G2 Wakeful at this trip during the Spring and left a filly like Hiyaam in her wake. That form is looking pretty hot now. Yes to she has to lump the big weight but when you have 60kg and everyone else has 53kg I think it says a lot about the gulf in class. She's the best filly in the race by a mile and should just win. The last start victory at Kembla was gutsy and previously she closed very well behind quality colts like Kementari, D'Argento and Ace High in the G2 Hobartville.
Good punting!
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