The good races are pretty thin on the ground so I've been scanning the nominations since they came out on Monday trying to find a winner.
Unfortunately all the ones I found seem to have been found by other people and have been well backed and tipped by many a form analyst.
But I'll stick to my guns and give you my original tips despite the skinny prices and the fact that I'll probably be accused of laziness and tip stealing!
Unfortunately all the ones I found seem to have been found by other people and have been well backed and tipped by many a form analyst.
But I'll stick to my guns and give you my original tips despite the skinny prices and the fact that I'll probably be accused of laziness and tip stealing!
Who's Hot?
Richard Jolly is in good touch of late with six winners from his last 19 starters at a strike rate of 32.6%.
He has three runners at Morphetville tomorrow - Evil Dreams (Race 2 No. 1), Heartz Ablaze (Race 2 No. 5) and Enduro (Race 5 No. 5).
ASCOT
A.J. Scahill Stakes (Group 3, 1400m, w-f-a)
Current Sportsbet market
Watermans Bay won this race last year. His record at the 1400m reads well with two wins and four seconds from eight attempts including a win and two seconds at this track from just four starts. His last go at the journey was three starts back when he won the G3 Victoria Handicap at Caulfield during the Autumn. He chased home Buffering last start (below) in the G1 Winterbottom Stakes - a race he ran second in last year before claiming this feature.
DOOMBEN
*** At time of publication the track was rated a Good 3. The forecast is for a cloudy day with the chance of showers.***
George Moore Stakes (Group 3, 1200m, quality handicap)
Current Sportsbet market
Festival Stakes (Listed, 1500m, quality handicap)
Didntcostalot looks well weighted here at just 1kg over the minimum. He's one of five Tony Gollan runners in a field of just 12 and jockey Tegan Harrison is sticking solid. They are a formidable team who have combined for 20 winners and 22 placegetters from just 70 runners so far this season. He's never missed a place in five starts at Doomben (three wins, two placings) and he will give you a good sight for a long way.
ROSEHILL
*** At time of publication the track was rated a Good 3. The forecast is for a cloudy day.***
Festival Stakes (Listed, 1500m, quality handicap)
Current Sportsbet market
Starlight Stakes (Listed, 1100m, quality handicap)
Frespanol will appreciate being back on a firm surface after lumping 58.5kg last start on a Heavy 9 when he just missed. Five of his six wins have come on dry tracks and he was dropping back from the mile to the 1350m on that occasion. He meets Zanbagh 2kg better off here for that defeat and prior to that he beat Rock Sturdy and Casino Dancer who have both since run well at the Flemington Carnival. His first two starts this campaign he finished alongside subsequent G1 winner Good Project.
Current Sportsbet market
Dublin Lass has only missed a top two finish twice in her last 10 starts stretching back to October last year and both those failures were when they tried to stretch her to 1400m. Her first up second in the G3 Mumm Stakes at Flemington on Oaks Day was enormous given she came down the inferior ground on the inside rail. The great barrier draw and the light weight should she her get a soft run here.
No comments:
Post a Comment