Thursday, 11 June 2015

Ipswich Cup Day 2015

This won't be a comprehensive blog with the feature program being three Listed races at Ipswich but I will return next week with an in-depth look at the final G1 race of the season.

There do still appear to be a few good bets around and let's face it I'm due after a horror day in Brisbane last Saturday which featured nine selections for no less than five seconds, one third and a scratching to top it all off.

Who's hot?

Local hoop Jim Byrne has had a good Winter Carnival with Black Type winners Jabali, Werther, Typing, Leebaz and Neo. He knows the Ipswich track well too after bagging a treble here on this day last year including the Gai Waterhouse Classic on Jazz Song and the Eye Liner Stakes aboard Alma's Fury.

He has a full book at Ipswich tomorrow but his best chances appear to be Mischievous Devil (Race 2 No. 4), Hi Son (Race 6 No. 4), Riva De Lago (Race 7 No. 2) and Fare Well (Race 8 No. 8).


Ipswich



*** As of 4pm this afternoon the track was rated a Good 4. The forecast is for a cloudy day with the chance of showers. ***


Ipswich Cup (Listed, 2150m, quality handicap)



*** There are no early scratchings ***

Volkhere has been consistent without winning in recent starts but this is a much easier assignment. Three starts back he was a length second to Pornichet in the Listed Toowoomba Cup and that horse would be $1.04 here. Last Saturday he was less than a length and a half off winner Jetset Lad in the G2 Brisbane Cup. He carries more weight this weekend but at just 1.5kg over the minimum I think he is well placed.

Speaking of Jetset Lad - Baligari beat him home in the G3 Premier's Cup at Doomben three weeks ago. The Kennewell family have had good success in Queensland in recent years with Lloyd winning the G3 Tatt's Cup with Rialya two years ago - the same year his father Gary claimed the Listed Eye Liner Stakes here with Conservatorium.

Danchai was nominated in Sydney as well but he's made the float trip north for the harder race so the stable is clearly confident. This bloke had a forgettable Spring but his first campaign in Australia was promising. He resumed from a six month spell just over a month ago and his two runs back have been sound. He has a sense of timing about him. Well backed.

Shotover River is somewhat of a track specialist with two wins and a placing from four starts at Ipswich. He boasts two wins at the distance and has only missed a place once in six goes between 2100m-2200m. A last start winner and my best roughie.

Locky's Selections

3 Volkhere
8 Baligari
6 Danchai
9 Shotover River

Other Races

Shards (Rosehill Race 1 No. 1) chased home Press Statement last start and that horse looked very impressive (below) winning the G1 J.J. Atkins at Doomben last Saturday. They gapped third which is a pretty good sign. He'll be a very short price but he should just win.




Well Backed

De Little Engine (Flemington Race 4 No. 7) opened $4.80 but was quickly backed into $3.70. His fresh run two starts back over the unsuitably short 1600m was a slasher. That may have taken something out of him because he looked a bit flat last start but his run was still good behind subsequent G1 Queensland Derby winner Magicool. Third run back now and he should be ready to fire and he is a previous winner at the track and distance.

Roughie

Champagne Cocktail (Flemington Race 3 No. 14) has had two placings from two starts and was probably unlucky not to win last time out when well supported. The horses she chased home on debut have since performed well and she looks to have a bit of ability. Someone is confident because she's $81 into $34.

Blue Blood

Our Racketeer (Ipswich Race 3 No. 12) is by G1 Emirates Stakes winner All American out of G1 Oakleigh Plate winner Miss Kournikova. At his only start (when he was well backed) he got a mile back after drawing poorly but I liked the way he hit the line and the step from 1000m to 1100m suits. $34 into $11.


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