Thursday, 21 May 2015

Doomben 10,000 Day 2015

All nine races at Doomben tomorrow are Black Type with the feature being the G1 Doomben 10,000 and they're betting $5.50 the field so if you're keen on something it's a good day to be having a flutter!

We'll also see the Oaks hopefuls stepping out in the G2 Doomben Roses for the 3-y-o fillies. Unfortunately the race has lost some of its gloss already with the early scratchings of pre-post favourite Ballet Suite and the well-fancied Sebrina.

16mm of rain fell on the circuit during the week but fortunately only 1mm has fallen since Monday. A strong westerly and a sunny day today means we should be racing on a slow but improving surface.

Who's hot?

Team Snowden has had seven winners from 27 runners in the last three weeks including stakes winners Flippant, That's A Good Idea, Hot Snitzel, Charlie Boy, I've Got The Looks and Miracles of Life. In all they've won 12 Black Type races in the last three months including four G1's.

They haves three runners at Doomben tomorrow - I've Got The Looks (Race 2 No. 2), Lucky Lago (Race 4 No. 11) and Charlie Boy (Race 8 No. 9) - plus interstate runners in Sabor A Triunfo (Flemington Race 7 No. 8) and Fastnet Isle (Newcastle Race 6 No. 7).

Doomben



*** As of 3pm this afternoon the track was rated a Soft 6. The forecast is for a partly cloudy day with the chance of showers. ***


Doomben 10,000 (Group 1, 1350m, w-f-a)



*** There are no early scratchings ***

"The Scriptures" say - Our Boy Malachi: This race changed to w-f-a conditions in 1997 and in 18 runnings since only four winners have returned more than $8.50 for the win. 11 came via the (now) G1 BTC Cup but only three completed the double. 13 were 4-y-o or older and 15 were male. 13 finished in the top three at their previous run. 

"The Speed Map" says - There doesn't appear to be a stack of early speed here so Our Boy Malachi and Time For War should get across from their wide gates without too much trouble. First emergency Nite Rocker will be up there too if he scrapes into the field. Expect Rock Sturdy and Srikandi (barrier manners?) to be handy from good draws. So too Big Money. Charlie Boy and Neo may press forward and look to slot in. Ditto Scissor Kick. Quite a few here who like to drift back - Boban, Fontelina, Knoydart, Sacred Star, Generalife and Bring Me The Maid although the latter could sit closer from the nice barrier. Don't know where they go with Temple Of Boom from out there. Flamingo Star the unknown quantity but I expect he'll need more ground and will be burnt off his feet early.

Srikandi blotted her copybook for the first time last time out when she blew the start but if she can jump with them tomorrow she is drawn to get a lovely run just behind the speed from her good barrier.  That was her only failure here - her other two starts have been wins. She won the G3 Glenlogan Park Stakes at this course and distance on this day last year before running third (below) in the G1 Stradbroke Handicap. Handles all surfaces and she really does seem to thrive in Queensland with four wins from six Winter Carnival starts.



Sacred Star also caught the eye (above) in last year's G1 Stradbroke Handicap when he flashed home into fifth in a slowly run race. His Spring form was ordinary but he's bounced back at his last two starts to notch consecutive G1 victories in NZ. He missed the G1 BTC Cup a fortnight ago with a stone bruise but all reports from trainer Tony Pike say he's responded well to treatment and he is a three-time winner first-up including the G2 QTC Cup last year at 1300m.

Generalife ran an enormous race (below) in the G1 All Aged Stakes. He came from last to finish a tick over a length behind Dissident and Wandjina who were 1-2 all the way in a slowly run race. Prior to that he won the G3 Star Kingdom Stakes first-up leaving subsequent G1 BTC Cup winner Hot Snitzel in his wake. Last Spring he ran some great races at 1400m behind quality opposition like Lucky Hussler and Hucklebuck. He's five weeks between runs but has had a strong barrier trial win in the meantime to keep him up to the mark.



Scissor Kick was alongside Generalife at the finish (above) in the G1 All Aged Stakes and has since run a good race in the G1 BTC Cup after being slow out of the barriers. He didn't see a lot of room early in the straight either but once jockey Tye Angland was able to switch him off heels he hit the line as well as any of them.  He was only just run down by Hallowed Crown in the G1 Golden Rose last September over 1400m when he was four deep without cover for the entire trip so the step up to 1350m looks ideal.

Our Boy Malachi is 17 wins from 20 starts so he's only missed the winners cheque on three occasions. Two of those were here at Doomben and he's only started here twice. The last one (below) wasn't a terrible run because he battled on for third in the G1 BTC Cup despite setting a hot tempo in front and I'm not convinced the fence was the place to be. He has two wins from two goes at 1300m (back-to-back Rockhampton Newmarket Handicaps) but has never been tried beyond that distance. He's three from three on wet tracks.



Bring Me The Maid was just behind the placegetters (above) in the G1 BTC Cup when she came through along the rail and as previously mentioned I don't think that was the best going. She is yet to place in three runs beyond 1200m but her last start effort proved she can be competitive at this level and let's face it this isn't the hottest field ever assembled for this race. She's sure to have her admirers and her wet track form is good (4:2-1-1) so any more rain would be a plus.

Knoydart was the best of the closers (above) when second in the G1 BTC Cup but perhaps he was flattered by the fact that Our Boy Malachi set it up for the backmarkers with a 34.55 split for the first 600m. Still he did run fifth in this race last year (below) in a much stronger field. Hasn't won since February last year but his subsequent nine runs have yielded four placings - three of which were at G1 level. His last win beyond 1200m was a Bm80 at Rosehill in July 2013 and his only other from eight attempts was his maiden.



Of the others Big Money wasn't bad last start when sixth in the G1 BTC Cup finishing alongside the likes of Bring Me The Maid and Scissor Kick after getting well back and coming wide. He won the Listed Lough Neagh Stakes at this track and distance third-up last prep and is a two time winner here at Doomben. He has four wins and two seconds from seven starts on affected ground. Temple Of Boom has drawn the car park and he has never won in 10 starts here at Doomben and in six starts beyond 1200m. Having said that he did finish third in this race three years ago and second last year (above) before finishing a narrow second in the G1 Stradbroke Handicap over 1400m. Any rain would help. Charlie Boy is a last start winner at this track and distance in the G3 BTC Sprint but on the downside in its 30 year history only Laurie's Lottery (1999) has come via that event to win this race. Snowden and Shinn combined for three winners at this track a fortnight ago. Rock Sturdy was second to Charlie Boy last start but meets him 1.5kg better off and he is progressing nicely following a near seven month injury enforced layoff. Boban has had two starts from the Doomben 1350m chute for a win in the Listed Phoenix Stakes as a 2-y-o and a second in the G3 Fred Best Classic as a 3-y-o on this day two years ago. A Time For War won the G2 BRC Sires Produce at this track and distance on this day last year beating subsequent dual G1 winner Brazen Beau. He's a speedy frontrunner and he'll give a good sight for a long way.

Locky's Selections

8 Generalife
14 Scissor Kick
13 Srikandi
7 Our Boy Malachi

Other Bets

I've Got The Looks (Doomben Race 2 No. 2) is flying this time in with two straight wins including a last start victory at this track (below) with a big weight. She's much better suited at the set weights plus penalties conditions here and the stable is flying. This is her first go beyond 1200m but they way she has been relaxing and finishing off her races seems to indicate the longer journey holds no fears. Opened $3.50.


I've Got the Looks (green sleeves) bursts through late to claim the Listed Juanmo Stakes

Najoom (Doomben Race 9 No. 14) has built up an impressive record (6:4-2-0) and she looked explosive winning the G3 Hawkesbury Guineas last start by almost four lengths. She's two from two at 1300m and beyond with a combined winning margin of almost eight lengths. The wide barrier is a slight concern but she has the entire length of the back straight to get across and find a handy position. Opened $4.00.

Roughies

Always Sacred (Randwick Race 1 No. 3) was well tried when winning on debut at Ipswich and Gold Coast trainer Toby Edmonds has elected to send him straight to Sydney at just his second start for a much tougher race. He obviously has an opinion of this 2-y-o because he's nominated for the G1 J.J. Atkins Stakes on Stradbroke Day. Debut win was on a wet track. Opened $26.

Decircles (Flemington Race 6 No. 6) is a three time winner and a two time placegetter from seven runs up the Flemington "straight six". He was well supported first-up ($10 into $7) so he must have been showing something in training and I'm prepared to forgive the bad run because he was reported to have had a poor post-race recovery. 1100m is not really his go either. Up to 1200m I'll be having a peanut each-way. Opened $21.


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