If you are still following this write-up I have to ask the question "Why?" because I've been having a Barry Crocker of late.
Unless you're just using my tips as a free scratching service...
Unless you're just using my tips as a free scratching service...
Who's Hot?
Hard to go past Blake Shinn with seven winners from his last 24 runners starting with a double at the Gold Coast on Magic Millions Day and finishing with a double at Goulburn two days ago.
He has just the four rides at Rosehill tomorrow - Yulong Ambition (Race 5 No. 4), Landlocked (Race 6 No. 1), Forget (Race 7 No. 6) and Miss Royale (Race 8 No. 8).
ROSEHILL
*** At time of publication the track was rated a Heavy 8. The forecast is for a partly cloudy day with a very high chance of showers in the afternoon.***
Expressway Stakes (Group 2, 1200m, w-f-a)
*** There are no early scratchings ***
This race should be run at a good tempo with Tiger Tees likely to push forward and hold the inside, River Lad and King's Troop will try to get across from wide gates and Solicit and Our Boy Malachi are always handy to the speed.
Our Boy Malachi is hard to knock. Two from two at Rosehill and four from five at the 1200m. His only "miss" was a third (below) in a G1 BTC Cup. Six wins and a second in seven first-up appearances. Three from three in the wet. 17 wins from 21 career starts. Ignore his ninth of nine in his latest barrier trial because he missed the kick. He's drawn to get a lovely run here and is clearly the one to beat.
Big Money had nine wins and four seconds from his first 15 starts but has placed just once in his last five runs stretching back more than a year. While his second-up record reads well (5:3-0-0) his last two efforts have been disappointing. He was only a length and a half behind Our Boy Malachi at level weights (above) in the G1 BTC Cup last May. He was sound first-up with the big weight and Robert Thompson is back on board in a rare city visit.
Solicit loves the sting out of the ground and is a three-time winner fresh. She won the G3 Vanity and the G3 Darley Crown first-up and she also broke her maiden (beating future G1 winner Suavito) when resuming from a spell. She just missed first-up last campaign in the G2 Tristarc Stakes. She did win a 1200m race at her third start but has only been tried at the trip once in 23 subsequent starts.
Generalife hasn't won since claiming the G3 Star Kingdom Stakes at this track and distance when first-up last March but he's been super competitive in his six runs since. On every occasion he's been within at least two lengths of the winner and we're talking about races like the G1 All Aged Stakes, G1 Doomben 10,000 (below) and G1 Stradbroke Handicap. A four-time winner at Rosehill but he wouldn't want it too wet.
River Lad hasn't won since his victory (below) in the G1 Stradbroke Handicap nearly 20 months ago. The stable had a winning double at Randwick last weekend but the barrier draw hasn't done them any favours. Still he's a winner of six races at 1200m and the only G1 winner in the field.
Our Boy Malachi is hard to knock. Two from two at Rosehill and four from five at the 1200m. His only "miss" was a third (below) in a G1 BTC Cup. Six wins and a second in seven first-up appearances. Three from three in the wet. 17 wins from 21 career starts. Ignore his ninth of nine in his latest barrier trial because he missed the kick. He's drawn to get a lovely run here and is clearly the one to beat.
Big Money had nine wins and four seconds from his first 15 starts but has placed just once in his last five runs stretching back more than a year. While his second-up record reads well (5:3-0-0) his last two efforts have been disappointing. He was only a length and a half behind Our Boy Malachi at level weights (above) in the G1 BTC Cup last May. He was sound first-up with the big weight and Robert Thompson is back on board in a rare city visit.
Solicit loves the sting out of the ground and is a three-time winner fresh. She won the G3 Vanity and the G3 Darley Crown first-up and she also broke her maiden (beating future G1 winner Suavito) when resuming from a spell. She just missed first-up last campaign in the G2 Tristarc Stakes. She did win a 1200m race at her third start but has only been tried at the trip once in 23 subsequent starts.
Generalife hasn't won since claiming the G3 Star Kingdom Stakes at this track and distance when first-up last March but he's been super competitive in his six runs since. On every occasion he's been within at least two lengths of the winner and we're talking about races like the G1 All Aged Stakes, G1 Doomben 10,000 (below) and G1 Stradbroke Handicap. A four-time winner at Rosehill but he wouldn't want it too wet.
King's Troop gets a 3.5kg pull in the weights from all bar Solicit and a 3-y-o did win the G2 w-f-a sprint last weekend in Melbourne. I don't think he appreciated hitting a wet track first-up and he bombed the start at the Gold Coast at his next run. Ignore those runs and go on his first three starts which resulted in a win and two seconds to G1 winner Japonisme and he's right in this. Especially given he has race fitness on his side.
Tiger Tees is a two-time winner at this track including one at this distance but he hasn't won for 17 months. Fresh last prep he was a one and three quarter length fifth to Terravista in the G2 Premiere Stakes in October. A wet track might enhance his prospects. So would a few scratchings. About seven ought to do it.
River Lad hasn't won since his victory (below) in the G1 Stradbroke Handicap nearly 20 months ago. The stable had a winning double at Randwick last weekend but the barrier draw hasn't done them any favours. Still he's a winner of six races at 1200m and the only G1 winner in the field.
Forget will be the rank outsider but the end of his last prep was pretty good. He bagged four wins, a second, a third and a fourth in his last seven runs which culminated in a last start victory in the G3 Cameron Handicap at Newcastle four months ago. I think this will be a bit short for him and he's not a noted fresh performer but the good draw and the soft track are a help.
Locky's Selections
BEST
7. Solicit
DANGER
4. Our Boy Malachi
FOR EXOTICS
8. King's Troop
3. Generalife
OTHER BETS
Real Love (Flemington Race 4 No. 2) is coming off a gutsy third (below) in the G2 Perth Cup and if she can handle the drop back in distance this looks a very winnable race. She was forced to go back from a wide gate last start but from barrier six I can see her a lot handier in the run tomorrow. Sixth run in last prep she won last year's G2 Perth Cup. Her last 11 starts have been at Stakes level so this is her easiest assignment in more than a year.
Another Cocktail (Rosehill Race 6 No. 6) was tipped last week but was scratched so I'm staying solid. It's a staying race in Sydney and he is an imported galloper trained by Chris Waller and ridden by Hugh Bowman. He's had two good runs in this country - both at the mile - and has lumped big weights on each occasion. Stepping up to 2000m here looks ideal and he drops to 57kg on a 54kg minimum.
The Quarterback (Flemington Race 7 No. 1) is the topical tip with the Super Bowl just over a week away but I'm not simply tipping him because of his name. His 1000m record at Flemington is great (5:3-0-1) and his last start win here on VRC Oaks Day was blistering. First-up last prep (below) he charged home from last to be four lengths off Chautauqua in the G2 McEwen Stakes despite an interrupted run in the home straight.
7. Solicit
DANGER
4. Our Boy Malachi
FOR EXOTICS
8. King's Troop
3. Generalife
OTHER BETS
Another Cocktail (Rosehill Race 6 No. 6) was tipped last week but was scratched so I'm staying solid. It's a staying race in Sydney and he is an imported galloper trained by Chris Waller and ridden by Hugh Bowman. He's had two good runs in this country - both at the mile - and has lumped big weights on each occasion. Stepping up to 2000m here looks ideal and he drops to 57kg on a 54kg minimum.
The Quarterback (Flemington Race 7 No. 1) is the topical tip with the Super Bowl just over a week away but I'm not simply tipping him because of his name. His 1000m record at Flemington is great (5:3-0-1) and his last start win here on VRC Oaks Day was blistering. First-up last prep (below) he charged home from last to be four lengths off Chautauqua in the G2 McEwen Stakes despite an interrupted run in the home straight.
Good punting!
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