G2 Missile Stakes Day - 08.08.2015

Not a crackerjack field for the first Group race of the new season especially given that the list of previous winners includes the likes of Campaign King, Guineas, Commands, Lonhro, Spark Of Life, Dance Hero and Sweet Idea. 

But the good horses can't be too far away with the first G1 of 2015/16 the Memsie Stakes to be run at Caulfield in just three weeks time.

Track information and conditions for tomorrow can be found here.

Who's Hot?

Gold Coast based trainer Bryan Guy has had eight winners and three seconds from just 16 starters in the last 16 days. (Win 50% - Place 73.3%)

He has three runners tomorrow - Polynikes (Doomben Race 1 No. 5), Grenache (Doomben Race 2 No. 12) and Amasta (Gold Coast Race 4 No. 3).

* He also has four runners at Ipswich this afternoon *

Class Act

Trust In A Gust (Flemington Race 7 No. 1) is clearly the best horse going around tomorrow. As last year's G1 Toorak Handicap winner (below) he has 60kg to contend with but he has shown before he can carry weight. Although he is giving 6kg to all his rivals on strict handicap ratings they should be getting at least 7.5kg. He's never missed a top two finish in four first-up appearances and he has two wins and three placings from five goes at 1200m.

Early Support

Messene (Randwick Race 6 No. 2) went up $4.20 in first markets Wednesday night but that was quickly snapped up and he's now a $3.20 chance. He races well fresh with six starts for three wins and two seconds including a narrow miss in this very event last year behind G1 winning mare Sweet Idea in a much stronger race.

Messene (inside) is edged out by Sweet Idea in last year's  G2 Missile Stakes.

Formlines

Herstory (Flemington Race 3 No. 6) won as she liked last time out and at her previous start she was game behind Volcanic Ash who has since won again. The fourth placegetter Raposo has also won since and was probably a bit stiff not to win again at Moonee Valley last weekend. Five starts at 1400m for two wins and three placings including two goes here at Flemington for a win and a third.

Liberty Island (Flemington Race 6 No. 13) also has form around Volcanic Ash and Raposo. He's drawn well, attractively weighted and Damien Oliver and Chris Waller have combined seven times in the past three weeks for four winners. Back up to 1600m appeals.

Other Bets

Duccio (Randwick Race 3 No. 5) should be ready to peak here after two runs back. Third up last prep he broke his maiden beating Preferment. That horse went on to win the G1 VRC Derby. At his next start Duccio was only collared late by Hampton Court in the Listed Dulcify Quality. That horse won the G1 Spring Champion Stakes at his next start. That form reads well for a BM80. Love the engagement of Jimmy Cassidy for this frontrunner.

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