Some good winners tipped again to follow on from Saturday with G1 Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist selected on top ($8.60/$3.10). I also had the Cup quinella ($87.50) among my top four selections with Red Cadeaux finishing second.
Unfortunately it was a sad end to the day but I'm here to give tips not a sermon. I'll leave that to the tree hugging, granola eating, cardigan wearing brigade.
Unfortunately it was a sad end to the day but I'm here to give tips not a sermon. I'll leave that to the tree hugging, granola eating, cardigan wearing brigade.
LOOKING FORWARD
Who's hot?
James McDonald was in good touch yesterday with two winners and a narrow second on Spy Decoder.
His best rides at Flemington tomorrow appear to be Postnthyme (Race 1 No. 10), Aerobar (Race 3 No. 7) and Atmospherical (Race 7 No. 15).
Flemington
*** As of 4pm this afternoon the track was rated a Dead 4. The forecast is for a mostly sunny day. ***
VRC Oaks (Group 1, 2500m, 3-y-o fillies set weights)
Current market
*** There are no early scratchings ***
"The Scriptures" say - Thunder Lady: 14 of the last 19 winners came via the G2 Wakeful Stakes. Eight completed the double including five in the last 10 years. Only four winners in the last 30 years have returned more than $7.50 and none since 2002.
"The Speed Map" says - I think the stablemates Fontein Ruby and Lumosty will lead but I think they are both a query at the 2400m so I don't think they'll be out to break any land speed records. Imperial Lass and Yesterjoy should be handy too. Go Indy Go, Crafty and Thunder Lady drift back and perhaps Abduction will be ridden a bit more quietly in an attempt to see out the journey.
Lumosty was impressive winning the G2 Fillies Classic on Cox Plate Day but now jumps straight from 1600m to 2500m and she has to be suspect at the staying trip. Her sire Fastnet Rock was a multiple G1 winning sprinter and her dam never won beyond 1400m. Having said that it's hard to knock them when they are in form. She just missed the in-form Afleet Esprit fresh and then bolted in at the provincials. Forgive the G1 Thousand Guineas run as it was a funny race tempo wise.
Go Indy Go hasn't won since claiming the G1 Champagne Stakes (below) but she has been racing like a stayer this time in. Her last three starts have seen her get back and attack the line and she looked good against the boys in the G2 Vase at Moonee Valley on Cox Plate Day. Her mother Elegant Eagle is a daughter of Zabeel and a full sister to Golden Eagle who is the mother of G1 Caulfield Cup winner Southern Speed so the 2400m shouldn't be a problem.
Crafty just keeps getting better as the distances get longer. She ran home strongly behind stablemate Fontein Ruby in the G2 Edward Manifold Stakes and again in the G3 Caulfield Classic where they took on the boys and beat them. Her breeding gives every indication she will run out a strong 2400m because her mother Spirited Dancer is a half sister to Peinture Bleue who threw G1 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe winner Peintre Celbre.
Set Square is an exciting prospect. She made her debut just seven weeks ago when finishing third in a Maiden on a Monday meeting at Donald. Two starts and two wins later she is one of the top fancies in an Oaks. I do wonder if she is seasoned enough for a race like this so early in her career but her win on Caulfield Cup Day in the Listed Ethereal Stakes was dominant.
Thunder Lady seems timed to the minute for this much like her stablemate Kirramosa who won this race last year off a similar prep. She goes in at her sixth run this campaign and has finished top five at all five runs. She won the G2 Wakeful Stakes on Saturday going away and was only three and a half lengths of Hampton Court in the Listed Dulcify Quality at Randwick on Epsom Day. He went on to claim the G1 Spring Champion Stakes a week later.
The rest are double figure odds but if you're looking for roughies to throw in your exotics then Yesterjoy has the pedigree to figure here given she is a daughter of Tuesday Joy. That mare was a four time G1 winner including one over the 2400m of the BMW and her dam Joie Denise won a G1 Queensland Oaks. Trainer Clarry Conners has won this race three times and jockey Jimmy Cassidy a staggering five. Game of Fame was only three and a half lengths off Preferment and Nozomi in the Listed Geelong Classic and that duo ran first and third in last Saturday's G1 Victoria Derby. Golconda was strong at the end of the G2 Wakeful Stakes and wasn't far away from Thunder Lady. Fontein Ruby was disappointing in the same race but she does meet all her rivals from Saturday better at the weights here and the stable is in good form. I'm risking Abduction.
Go wide because a roughie usually runs into the trifecta.
Locky's Selections
"The Speed Map" says - I think the stablemates Fontein Ruby and Lumosty will lead but I think they are both a query at the 2400m so I don't think they'll be out to break any land speed records. Imperial Lass and Yesterjoy should be handy too. Go Indy Go, Crafty and Thunder Lady drift back and perhaps Abduction will be ridden a bit more quietly in an attempt to see out the journey.
Lumosty was impressive winning the G2 Fillies Classic on Cox Plate Day but now jumps straight from 1600m to 2500m and she has to be suspect at the staying trip. Her sire Fastnet Rock was a multiple G1 winning sprinter and her dam never won beyond 1400m. Having said that it's hard to knock them when they are in form. She just missed the in-form Afleet Esprit fresh and then bolted in at the provincials. Forgive the G1 Thousand Guineas run as it was a funny race tempo wise.
Go Indy Go hasn't won since claiming the G1 Champagne Stakes (below) but she has been racing like a stayer this time in. Her last three starts have seen her get back and attack the line and she looked good against the boys in the G2 Vase at Moonee Valley on Cox Plate Day. Her mother Elegant Eagle is a daughter of Zabeel and a full sister to Golden Eagle who is the mother of G1 Caulfield Cup winner Southern Speed so the 2400m shouldn't be a problem.
Crafty just keeps getting better as the distances get longer. She ran home strongly behind stablemate Fontein Ruby in the G2 Edward Manifold Stakes and again in the G3 Caulfield Classic where they took on the boys and beat them. Her breeding gives every indication she will run out a strong 2400m because her mother Spirited Dancer is a half sister to Peinture Bleue who threw G1 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe winner Peintre Celbre.
Set Square is an exciting prospect. She made her debut just seven weeks ago when finishing third in a Maiden on a Monday meeting at Donald. Two starts and two wins later she is one of the top fancies in an Oaks. I do wonder if she is seasoned enough for a race like this so early in her career but her win on Caulfield Cup Day in the Listed Ethereal Stakes was dominant.
Thunder Lady seems timed to the minute for this much like her stablemate Kirramosa who won this race last year off a similar prep. She goes in at her sixth run this campaign and has finished top five at all five runs. She won the G2 Wakeful Stakes on Saturday going away and was only three and a half lengths of Hampton Court in the Listed Dulcify Quality at Randwick on Epsom Day. He went on to claim the G1 Spring Champion Stakes a week later.
Locky's Selections
5 Thunder Lady
3 Crafty
9 Game Of Fame
2 Go Indy Go
3 Crafty
9 Game Of Fame
2 Go Indy Go
Other bets
Cadillac Mountain (Flemington Race 2 No. 10) has found a good race here third-up after two solid efforts this time in over unsuitable distances. He wasn't beaten far on either occasion and there were excuses. Third run in his first campaign he won over 2000m and last preparation they saw fit to take on Criterion in the G1 Rosehill Guineas and G1 Australian Derby and he wasn't disgraced despite not appreciating the wet tracks. $4.60.
Cradle Me (Flemington Race 6 No. 13) is worth a peanut each-way at double figure odds. She's a winner of three from five second-up and her first-up run was full of merit when she was in the wrong part of the track. In her last six runs she has not missed a top two finish including two wins and a second from three goes at 1100m. $10.
Cradle Me (Flemington Race 6 No. 13) is worth a peanut each-way at double figure odds. She's a winner of three from five second-up and her first-up run was full of merit when she was in the wrong part of the track. In her last six runs she has not missed a top two finish including two wins and a second from three goes at 1100m. $10.
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