Happy New Racing Year ! - 01.08.2015

It's time to fire up the blog again after a bit of a freshen-up over the Winter because the first Group race of the year is only a week away.

So let me blow off the cobwebs and see if the brief spell has had the right effect.

Who's Hot?

Brad Rawiller has had an incredible last nine days.

He's ridden 13 winners including a treble at the Geelong Synthetic track, a metro double at Caulfield last weekend from just three rides and a staggering five winners at Swan Hill on Monday just gone.

One To Follow

Raposo (Moonee Valley Race 7 No. 11) is a horse I have been watching lately. He was devastating last start despite running about like a drunken sailor. Prior to that he was fourth behind (subsequent winners) Volcanic Ash and Herstory and maybe should have won after seeing more backsides than a Customs officer in the run down the straight. He's had two starts at this track for a win and a narrow second to Duke of Brunswick - that horse came out and won again beating Volcanic Ash. I won't be backing him here because he's too short in the market and I don't think barrier four is ideal but put him in your Black Book.

Hello Stranger

Trainer Richard Jolly doesn't venture across the border from his Morphettville base very often so he must think he has some genuine winning chances tomorrow at Moonee Valley. He saddles up Pistolier (Race 3 No. 7), Hioctdane (Race 5 No. 5) and Mr. Good Cat (Race 6 No. 6).

Mudlark

Marenostro (Rosehill Race 4 No. 2) has had 13 starts. Wet tracks 7:5-1-1. Dry tracks 6:1-0-0. He won't be any flash price but he should just win so maybe use him as an anchor leg in your multis. He's won four from five this time in and the day he missed he was desperately unlucky.

Blue Blood

Attack The Line (Moonee Valley Race 2 No. 7) is by G1 Newmarket Handicap winner Wanted out of G3 Auraria Stakes winner Princess Pulse. He's a three-year-old having his first start tomorrow but he easily won his only trial under double wraps. He's $3.90 into $3.00 in early betting and the engagement of Damien Oliver to ride is a good sign he is primed for a debut win.

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04.07.2015

A couple of nice winners identified last weekend in Berry Delicious (Who's Hot?) and Queen Of Kariba (Mudlark) and hopefully the good form continues tomorrow.

Rosehill will be wet - again.

Who's Hot?

Team Hawkes has had eight winners from their last 25 runners at a strike rate of 32%.

They have just one runner tomorrow - Elle Lou (Rosehill Race 4 No. 8).

Show Me The Money

Heavy (Caulfield Race 3 No. 2) opened $8 on Sportsbet but that didn't last long and he was into $5 within 12 hours. He was unlucky last start and trainer Ciaron Maher is in the middle of a purple patch. Talented young apprentice jockey Michael Dee had five rides on Wednesday at Ballarat for four winners and a second.

Blue Blood

Maternal (Rosehill Race 1 No. 4) is a daughter of champion mare Divine Madonna who won four G1 races in the Emirates Stakes, the Queen of the Turf Stakes (below), the Toorak Handicap and the Myer Classic. This filly's father was G1 Dubai World Cup winner Street Cry. She broke her maiden on a Soft 6 last start at her second career run.

Brisbane Winter Form

Lucky Lago (Rosehill Race 2 No. 6) will find this a much easier assignment after three successive runs in Queensland in Black Type races over the Winter Carnival. She's in on the minimum weight in a BM95 after running in G3 and Listed races and is overdue for a breakthrough.

Man of Steel

Mr Steal (Rosehill Race 3 No. 8) won a 2200m race on a Heavy 9 at Warwick Farm on Wednesday and he obviously came through the run OK because he's backing up here just three days later. He's chasing his fourth consecutive win (and his third in 15 days) and his previous three victories were all on wet tracks. He's up in class but down in weight and he's rock hard fit and will race forward.

Macca's Combo Deal

Final Decision (Rosehill Race 4 No. 4) sees jockey Tye Angland combine with trainer Jason Coyle and although they don't link up that often it's worth noting when they do. In the last seven weeks they have combined just four times but have come away with three wins - two of them with this very galloper.

Mudlarks

Mount Nebo (Rosehill Race 7 No. 6) has started on rain affected tracks 13 times and has only missed the top three once with five wins and seven placings. His dry track form (18:1-2-6) doesn't read as well. He's dropping back from good runs in strong races and is just 1kg over the minimum.

Marenostro (Rosehill Race 8 No. 11) has had 11 starts. Wet tracks 5:4-1-0. Dry tracks 6:1-0-0. Three from three this prep and $8 into $5.50 in early betting. Enough said.

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